Changyong Lee1, Sugyeong Jo2, Daeil Kwon3 and Michael Pecht4
1 Graduate School of Management of Technology, Sogang University, Seoul, South Korea
2 School of Management Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, South Korea
3 Department of Systems Management Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, South Korea
4 Center for Advanced Life Cycle Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA
Reliability testing on Li-ion batteries is critical to designing operational back-end strategies for developing portable electronics. This paper develops a capacity-fading behavior analysis for the early detection of unhealthy Li-ion batteries during reliability tests by comparing against the capacity-fading behaviors of healthy batteries from qualification. The developed approach uses a local outlier factor for measuring the anomaly scores of the capacity-fading behaviors of test batteries at a certain cycle, kernel density estimation for normalizing the range of anomaly scores over cycles, and a hidden Markov model for estimating the probability that the test batteries are at a certain state (i.e., healthy or unhealthy). Experimental results on Li-ion batteries used for portable consumer electronics confirm that the developed method outperforms previous approaches, reducing the required number of reliability tests for unhealthy batteries to 100 cycles, less than a month in practice.