Michael Pecht1 , Shunfeng Cheng1and Kwok Tom2
1CALCE, Center for Advanced Life Cycle Engineering, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20740, USA
2Army Research Laboratory 2800 Powder Mill Road, Adelphi, Maryland, 20783
Abstract:
As a circuit protection device, polymer positive temperature coefficient (PPTC)
resettable fuses have been widely used in over-current or over-temperature
circuit-protection designs in computers, automotive circuits, telecommunications
equipment, and medical devices. Failure of a resettable fuse can cause abnormal operation of
and damage to a circuit. Prognostics for a resettable fuse enables advance warning of the
failure of the fuse and the prediction of its remaining useful life; therefore, the operator can
take action to maintain or replace the component to reduce damage to the circuit. This paper
uses the cross-validation equential probability ratio test (CV-SPRT) method to monitor the
failure precursor parameters in situ, and uses an autoregressive integrated moving average
(ARIMA) model to predict failure based on the precursors.