Future Circuit International, Issue 7, pp. 101-107, Technology Publishing Ltd, London, UK, 2001
Zhenya Huang, Peter Sandborn, Michael Pecht
CALCE Electronic Products and Systems Center
University of Maryland College Park, MD 20742
Nortel Networks Research Triangle Park, NC 27709
This paper presents an approach to forecast the life cycle stage and the years to obsolescence of ASICs. Forecasting is based on curve fitting past sales data of each ASIC type. We then show how attributes such as package style and voltage can modify the forecasts. In addition, the trends in the ASIC industry, by ASIC category, are discussed, and a roadmap is presented.
article is available to CALCE Consortium Members.