Future Circuit International, Issue 7, pp. 101-107, Technology Publishing Ltd, London, UK, 2001

Life Cycle Forecasting of ASICs

Zhenya Huang, Peter Sandborn, Michael Pecht
CALCE Electronic Products and Systems Center
University of Maryland College Park, MD 20742

Rajeev Solomon
Nortel Networks Research Triangle Park, NC 27709


This paper presents an approach to forecast the life cycle stage and the years to obsolescence of ASICs. Forecasting is based on curve fitting past sales data of each ASIC type. We then show how attributes such as package style and voltage can modify the forecasts. In addition, the trends in the ASIC industry, by ASIC category, are discussed, and a roadmap is presented.

Complete article is available to CALCE Consortium Members.

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