Proceedings of The 5th ICRMS 2001, Vol. 1, pp. 1-19, 28-31, August, 2001, Dalian, China

Reliability Engineering in the 21st Century - A Focus on Predicting the Reliability of Electronic Products and Systems

M. Pecht
CALCE Electronic Products and Systems Consortium
University of Maryland
College Park, MD 20742


While it is generally believed that reliability predictions can aid in product design and development, the integrity and auditability of many reliability prediction methods have been found to be questionable; in that, the models do not predict field failures, cannot be used for comparative purposes, and present misleading trends and relations. This paper discusses the role of reliability prediction in design, development, and deployment of electronic equipment; overviews the history of reliability predictions for electronics; discusses the advantages and disadvantages of some current methods; and presents some of the key research questions which need to be addressed.

Complete article is available to CALCE Consortium Members

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